Are high altitude winds really predictable?

It is well documented that wind power and consistency increase with altitude, despite the decrease in air density. PDF available on https://www.researchgate.net/publication/26624790_Global_Assessment_of_High-Altitude_Wind_Power.

But are high altitude winds really predictable?

You can click anywhere on the globe map, and for different altitudes.

My first observation: for a same altitude wind speeds vary strongly. So the answer to the question would be negative except if the location is well known, although the flows are shifting.

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Wow, very cool map.
There’s another one like that which I learned about from hang gliding:

What I noticed around Southern California, with our 10,000 - 11,000 foot+ tall mountains is the winds at low elevations are completely dictated by the terrain, like water in a stream going around rocks, but the higher you go (click), the more constant the wind direction and speed becomes, until at a few miles high, it turns into just “the prevailing westerlies”, including the Jet Stream. Very interesting to see how meteorology is advancing. We used to have to tune in “THE news”, to hear “THE weather report”. Now we can just tune in our computer to whatever weather data we want to know. Amazing.

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The most powerful and massive jet streams seem to surround Antarctica, passing through the south of the African, American, and Australian continents.

And often they correspond to strong winds even at low altitudes, hence the expression of the Roaring Forties.

There is little air traffic around Antarctica…

For the exploitation of such winds, one can take into account the experiments and studies on parachutes, their opening and their drag coefficient Cd at high speed (see the pdf below), and see if there is a possibility of extrapolating on Parasail-based Airborne Wind Energy System.

Let @dougselsam be reassured, if all of this is possible, we will first try to power his house.

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And often, they correspond to strong winds even at low altitudes, called Roaring 40s, Furious 50s and Screaming 60s | PONANT Magazine and which would be available, whether the jet streams are or are not. There is little air traffic and few inhabitants around Antarctica, leading to a significant possibility for AWES.

(PDF) Parasail-based Airborne Wind Energy System. Available from: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/378970090_Parasail-based_Airborne_Wind_Energy_System [accessed May 22 2025].