Hi Pierre: Well, first of all, the reason I use these terms is because, beginning in the 1970’s, I have paid attention to wind energy technology, and after ordering to book “Wind machines” by the Mitre Corporation, I already knew the basic types of wind turbines, their advantages and pitfalls, then paid attention in my fluid dynamics classes at university, always thinking, always designing.
Then awhile filing some key patents, I got educated by a lot of wind energy veterans when the internet was new and fresh and full of good people and good info. Experienced builders, fabricators, windfarm operators, aerodynamicists, even NREL scientists and engineers were free to speak on the chat groups for wind energy. Today the web is a watered-down clown show of ignorance and censorship, mostly about marketing Chinese junk and making sure nobody tells the truth about anything. By the time AWE came along, I was already at the head of the pack in the AWE realm with the Popular Science Invention of the year in June 2008, which I made in a couple of weeks after PopSci called and wanted to come and photograph something compelling.
So anyway, by the time AWE emerged as “a thing”, I had already been exposed to, and participated in, debunking the typical, repetitive bad ideas in wind energy. But at least in regular wind energy, people were building real turbines that worked. Even the vertical-axis people sometimes had turbines that worked for a little while. before self-destruction. Sure, we had plenty of “Professor Crackpots”, but also a lot of off-grid people building working systems that powered their homes - this was back when solar was $4/Watt, whereas you could get a wind system running at maybe $1/Watt or $2/Watt.
We did have a few stubborn “idiots” (usually Savonius advocates) who refused to learn what works, promoting bad ideas, needing to be told to actually connect a generator or shut up, etc., but nothing like what emerged when AWE got popular.
Once the AWE people came on the scene, it was already difficult to find good info on the internet, and the people were not only not even interested in learning anything about wind energy, they thought they knew better than the people practicing wind energy, without any good reason to feel so superior. In short, I had never seen so many complete idiots pretending to have anything to do with wind energy, ever, in my entire life, not even close. You know who the worst were - nothing but lies and arguments over ridiculous notions that made no sense whatsoever, and endless claims of immense progress, always set in future-tense, while NEVER materializing.
So while all of this new crop of perpetual idiots with their “smart” (stupid?) phones went on and on raising millions of dollars to hire a thousand well-meaning yet naive kids, with their only accomplishments taking group selfies, “renting office space”, promising to power X hundred homes at remote location Y by date Z, etc., it was apparent to anyone who knew anything about wind energy that NOBODY in this entire crop of wind-wannabes would EVER learn anything about wind energy, or ever create anything that worked out. There was no humility, no willingness, or even desire, to learn, just the misguided notion that if they liked kites, they could simply “replace hardware with software”, and end up with the best source of power generation yet conceived in the history of the world.
They thought they were about to change the world, whereas real wind people knew we were looking at an order-of-magnitude increase in outright stupidity, and really, there was nothing in the new field of wannabe AWE to talk about EXCEPT how stupid all the people were, and still are to this day. The results are as predicted: nonexistent - after well over a billion dollars spent. Today, we have a few stragglers, still writing that software, occasionally flying a few kites from half-size shipping containers, talking endlessly of “disaster relief”, and that’s about it.
As far as the 3 multiple-choice “choices” you asked my opinion about, I’ve always been amazed that none of these smartphone geniuses ever just hung an off-the-shelf turbine from an off-the-shelf kite or balloon, etc., at least as a staring place to show something that could technically at least work, without even having to build or design anything new, but that would apparently be too simple for such “geniuses”.
As far as virtually every forward-looking statement made by the smartphone geniuses being wrong, taking false statements by politicians as an example, it’s often said “Either he is lying, or stupid enough to believe what he just said”. Under Joe Faust in the old forum, a major “topic” was in fact whether his little buddy was INTENTIONALLY “lying”, or just somehow making endless false statements without knowing it.
In both cases, the clear choice is between being “a liar” or “stupid”. Either way, who cares? The result is the same. So take all the false statements of future progress in AWE, and take your pick - was the person making the false statements “a liar” or “an idiot”? That’s what it comes down to. Those are the only two possibilities. If you think they knew the statements were likely false, they are liars, otherwise they are idiots. Facts are facts, results, or the lack thereof, are what they are, and sometimes it is not too complicated.
Anyway, to my way of thinking, there is nothing to comment on in the general field of AWE as attempted today, except how stupid and uneducated most of the wannabe participants are, and while their instinct is to “shoot the messenger” that’s just part of their ignorance. Most of them are such a complete joke, subject to believing every lie they hear, they are in turn relegated to simply lying all the time themselves, while accusing me of lying if I even just quote them directly. There has never been anything like it in wind energy - not even close. AWE as it exists today is nothing but the biggest joke ever to appear in the otherwise productive and well-established field of wind energy. 